MIBR vs paiN — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371621

HLTV

T1 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-19 FINAL

MIBR

WINNER

2 : 1

SERIES COMPLETE

paiN

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

ancient 62% MIBR

inferno 57% MIBR

mirage 43% MIBR

dust2 43% MIBR

overpass 58% MIBR

nuke 47% MIBR

vertigo 48% MIBR

anubis 50% MIBR

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 1

MIBR

SERIES WINNER

MIBR

PAIN

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

ancient 62% MIBR

inferno 57% MIBR

mirage 43% MIBR

dust2 43% MIBR

overpass 58% MIBR

nuke 47% MIBR

vertigo 48% MIBR

anubis 50% MIBR

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

nuke 13 – 11 MIBR took the map.

anubis 11 – 13 paiN took the map.

vertigo 13 – 1 MIBR took the map.

Side

MIBR WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP exitR	65	39	17	37%	98.8	74.6%	1.48	—
brnz4n RIFLER	51	48	17	59%	87.7	70.2%	1.16	9.1
insani RIFLER	48	44	15	46%	79.7	70.2%	1.12	9.2
drop	48	49	13	63%	78.8	70.2%	1.07	—
saffee AWP	37	43	20	41%	64.8	74.6%	0.98	9.1

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP nqz-	55	49	8	15%	89.9	67.2%	1.17	—
lux1-	44	49	11	36%	77.8	65.7%	0.98	—
kauez_	43	48	9	47%	69.2	64.2%	0.94	—
nyezin	34	47	14	38%	66.9	65.7%	0.84	—
biguzera ENTRY	38	51	18	55%	71.4	59.7%	0.84	8.9

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
exitR	27	14	4	44%	105.4	76.0%	1.61	—
brnz4n	19	20	4	79%	91.9	64.0%	1.07	9.1
saffee77	11	15	8	64%	67.6	68.0%	0.87	9.1
insani	11	16	4	64%	60.0	60.0%	0.75	9.2
drop	9	15	3	78%	42.0	72.0%	0.73	—

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
lux1-	19	17	3	37%	91.5	68.0%	1.16	—
nyezin	14	14	8	57%	88.2	80.0%	1.15	—
nqz-	17	16	2	18%	72.8	72.0%	1.08	—
kauez_	17	16	4	41%	70.8	68.0%	1.05	—
biguzera-	14	18	5	64%	81.8	56.0%	0.85	8.9

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
insani	24	21	7	50%	92.0	74.1%	1.28	9.2
exitR	21	20	5	33%	83.2	66.7%	1.11	—
drop	21	24	5	43%	83.4	63.0%	1.01	—
saffee77	18	21	7	33%	66.9	74.1%	1.00	9.1
brnz4n	14	22	8	36%	63.0	63.0%	0.77	9.1

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nqz-	27	18	4	15%	110.2	66.7%	1.43	—
biguzera-	22	19	9	50%	86.0	81.5%	1.29	8.9
lux1-	19	20	3	42%	70.9	70.4%	1.03	—
kauez_	18	18	3	39%	68.0	66.7%	1.00	—
nyezin	16	18	5	19%	56.2	70.4%	0.93	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
brnz4n	18	6	5	56%	125.3	93.3%	2.00	9.1
exitR	17	5	8	29%	115.8	86.7%	1.92	—
drop	18	10	5	78%	131.8	80.0%	1.78	—
insani	13	7	4	23%	90.3	80.0%	1.46	9.2
saffee77	8	7	5	25%	56.4	86.7%	1.12	9.1

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nqz-	11	15	2	9%	81.9	60.0%	0.88	—
kauez_	8	14	2	75%	68.4	53.3%	0.65	—
lux1-	6	12	5	17%	67.4	53.3%	0.62	—
nyezin	4	15	1	50%	50.7	33.3%	0.17	—
biguzera-	2	14	4	50%	27.7	26.7%	0.00	8.9

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = MIBR · Magenta = paiN. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

exitR nqz- brnz4n insani drop lux1- saffee kauez_ nyezin biguzera