MIBR vs paiN — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371160

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-12 FINAL

MIBR

WINNER

2 : 0

SERIES COMPLETE

paiN

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

ancient 62% MIBR

inferno 57% MIBR

mirage 43% MIBR

dust2 43% MIBR

overpass 58% MIBR

nuke 47% MIBR

vertigo 48% MIBR

anubis 50% MIBR

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 0

MIBR

SERIES WINNER

MIBR

PAIN

—

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

ancient 62% MIBR

inferno 57% MIBR

mirage 43% MIBR

dust2 43% MIBR

overpass 58% MIBR

nuke 47% MIBR

vertigo 48% MIBR

anubis 50% MIBR

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

nuke 13 – 11 MIBR took the map.

anubis 13 – 11 MIBR took the map.

Side

MIBR WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP exit	36	23	11	56%	91.9	82.6%	1.39	—
saffee AWP	31	29	9	23%	76.0	69.6%	1.08	9.1
brnz4n RIFLER	25	31	19	64%	77.8	73.9%	1.00	9.1
drop	30	33	7	50%	73.4	67.4%	0.99	—
insani RIFLER	33	35	5	45%	80.8	58.7%	0.97	9.2

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP nqz333	37	28	5	22%	83.4	65.2%	1.19	—
lux	29	34	17	52%	85.6	67.4%	1.02	—
biguzera ENTRY	27	33	16	37%	81.6	71.7%	1.01	8.9
kauez	29	33	10	69%	69.5	67.4%	0.96	—
nyezin	29	33	7	59%	76.6	60.9%	0.93	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
exit	20	10	5	45%	97.3	78.3%	1.49	—
brnz4n	15	14	9	73%	89.9	73.9%	1.17	9.1
drop	15	13	2	33%	71.1	65.2%	1.04	—
insani	16	17	3	25%	78.1	56.5%	0.94	9.2
saffee	11	15	4	36%	53.2	56.5%	0.73	9.1

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nqz333	18	15	3	17%	83.9	65.2%	1.15	—
kauez	15	16	4	73%	70.7	78.3%	1.07	—
biguzera	11	16	5	64%	74.0	65.2%	0.84	8.9
nyezin	13	17	2	62%	70.5	47.8%	0.74	—
lux	11	17	4	55%	65.5	56.5%	0.72	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
saffee	20	14	5	15%	98.8	82.6%	1.43	9.1
exit	16	13	6	69%	86.4	87.0%	1.30	—
insani	17	18	2	65%	83.5	60.9%	1.00	9.2
drop	15	20	5	67%	75.7	69.6%	0.93	—
brnz4n	10	17	10	50%	65.7	73.9%	0.84	9.1

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
lux	18	17	13	50%	105.7	78.3%	1.31	—
nqz333	19	13	2	26%	82.8	65.2%	1.22	—
biguzera	16	17	11	19%	89.1	78.3%	1.17	8.9
nyezin	16	16	5	56%	82.6	73.9%	1.12	—
kauez	14	17	6	64%	68.3	56.5%	0.85	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = MIBR · Magenta = paiN. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

exit nqz333 saffee lux biguzera brnz4n drop insani kauez nyezin