Imperial vs paiN — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371159

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-11 FINAL

Imperial

CHALLENGER

0 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

paiN

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

overpass 66% Imperial

dust2 57% Imperial

vertigo 44% Imperial

ancient 44% Imperial

inferno 53% Imperial

nuke 48% Imperial

mirage 52% Imperial

anubis 50% Imperial

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

0 : 2

paiN

SERIES WINNER

IMPERIAL

—

PAIN

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

overpass 66% Imperial

dust2 57% Imperial

vertigo 44% Imperial

ancient 44% Imperial

inferno 53% Imperial

nuke 48% Imperial

mirage 52% Imperial

anubis 50% Imperial

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

nuke 7 – 13 paiN took the map.

inferno 5 – 13 paiN took the map.

Side

Imperial

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP felps	28	27	4	39%	72.5	60.5%	1.00	—
decenty	25	28	4	60%	82.3	60.5%	0.95	—
hen1	22	26	3	55%	71.1	60.5%	0.87	—
noway	18	28	6	61%	59.6	65.8%	0.77	—
VINI RIFLER	15	26	5	47%	49.5	55.3%	0.61	8.6

paiN WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP lux	35	20	8	54%	94.6	76.3%	1.46	—
kauez	31	22	5	55%	84.0	71.1%	1.26	—
nyezin	26	23	4	42%	74.9	71.1%	1.10	—
nqz333	22	20	12	14%	77.2	73.7%	1.10	—
biguzera ENTRY	21	24	14	67%	76.8	71.1%	1.00	9.0

Imperial

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
felps	16	14	2	31%	87.9	57.9%	1.11	—
decenty	14	15	2	64%	90.0	63.2%	1.04	—
hen1	12	12	2	50%	81.0	63.2%	1.00	—
noway	9	16	4	78%	67.5	63.2%	0.72	—
VINI	8	13	2	63%	53.7	52.6%	0.63	8.6

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
lux	19	10	4	53%	101.2	84.2%	1.61	—
nyezin	16	13	3	50%	100.1	73.7%	1.30	—
kauez	15	12	3	53%	86.4	73.7%	1.24	—
nqz333	10	11	7	20%	79.1	73.7%	1.04	—
biguzera	10	14	6	70%	66.4	63.2%	0.83	9.0

Imperial

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
felpera	12	13	2	50%	57.0	63.2%	0.90	—
decenty	11	13	2	55%	74.7	57.9%	0.87	—
noway	9	12	2	44%	51.7	68.4%	0.81	—
hen1	10	14	1	60%	61.1	57.9%	0.75	—
VINI	7	13	3	29%	45.2	57.9%	0.60	8.6

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
lux	16	10	4	56%	88.1	68.4%	1.31	—
kauez	16	10	2	56%	81.7	68.4%	1.28	—
biguzera	11	10	8	64%	87.2	79.0%	1.18	9.0
nqz333	12	9	5	8%	75.4	73.7%	1.16	—
nyezin	10	10	1	30%	49.8	68.4%	0.90	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Live win probability — nuke

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

⚡ SPECTER re-prices win probability after every kill, plant and save. Momentum swings visible per round.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows clearly.

⬡ Round-by-round reconstruction runs post-match from validated V4 demo data. Check back after parse.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

lux kauez nyezin nqz333 biguzera felps decenty hen1 noway VINI