paiN vs RED Canids — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371158

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-10 FINAL

paiN

WINNER

2 : 1

SERIES COMPLETE

RED Canids

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

overpass 37% paiN

ancient 41% paiN

dust2 55% paiN

anubis 54% paiN

vertigo 54% paiN

inferno 46% paiN

mirage 53% paiN

nuke 51% paiN

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 1

paiN

SERIES WINNER

PAIN

RED CANIDS

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

overpass 37% paiN

ancient 41% paiN

dust2 55% paiN

anubis 54% paiN

vertigo 54% paiN

inferno 46% paiN

mirage 53% paiN

nuke 51% paiN

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

mirage 13 – 11 paiN took the map.

overpass 8 – 13 RED Canids took the map.

vertigo 13 – 11 paiN took the map.

Side

paiN WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP nqz333	58	36	12	24%	90.6	77.3%	1.40	—
biguzera ENTRY	53	51	17	51%	94.7	65.2%	1.15	8.9
kauez	40	46	11	75%	77.0	59.1%	0.91	—
nyezin	33	49	16	64%	68.4	66.7%	0.83	—
lux	31	43	15	42%	63.1	60.6%	0.79	—

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP dav1deuS	57	43	21	56%	106.1	81.8%	1.43	—
nython	52	40	7	35%	84.1	72.7%	1.23	—
hardzao	42	46	14	55%	82.4	66.7%	1.01	—
venomzera RIFLER	44	44	8	57%	76.8	62.1%	0.99	9.1
righi	27	45	17	41%	62.5	60.6%	0.72	—

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
kauez	17	15	4	65%	97.4	65.2%	1.16	—
biguzera	18	19	3	50%	87.4	60.9%	1.04	8.9
nqz333	16	16	4	25%	74.9	60.9%	0.99	—
lux	12	15	5	42%	65.0	65.2%	0.87	—
nyezin	8	17	5	100%	52.3	65.2%	0.63	—

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
dav1deuS	19	15	9	58%	113.3	87.0%	1.46	—
nython	19	13	3	42%	94.0	78.3%	1.36	—
venomzera	17	14	1	47%	74.1	65.2%	1.09	9.1
hardzao	14	14	3	43%	77.2	69.6%	1.03	—
righi	10	16	5	50%	61.7	56.5%	0.70	—

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nqz333	18	9	1	17%	86.0	85.0%	1.50	—
biguzera	12	15	3	75%	72.2	50.0%	0.79	8.9
nyezin	10	15	5	50%	65.3	60.0%	0.77	—
kauez	12	16	3	75%	70.4	50.0%	0.76	—
lux	8	17	4	50%	61.1	40.0%	0.46	—

RED Canids WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
dav1deuS	20	11	9	60%	124.3	95.0%	1.77	—
hardzao	17	15	5	59%	113.3	70.0%	1.30	—
nython	13	11	2	8%	65.3	75.0%	1.10	—
venomzera	13	12	3	85%	81.7	65.0%	1.05	9.1
righi	9	12	4	44%	69.5	65.0%	0.85	—

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nqz333	24	11	7	29%	110.4	87.0%	1.73	—
biguzera	23	17	11	39%	121.6	82.6%	1.57	8.9
nyezin	15	17	6	53%	87.2	73.9%	1.08	—
lux	11	11	6	36%	63.1	73.9%	0.99	—
kauez	11	15	4	91%	62.5	60.9%	0.79	—

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nython	20	16	2	45%	90.6	65.2%	1.22	—
dav1deuS	18	17	3	50%	83.0	65.2%	1.10	—
venomzera	14	18	4	43%	75.3	56.5%	0.84	9.1
hardzao	11	17	6	64%	60.7	60.9%	0.75	—
righi	8	17	8	25%	57.1	60.9%	0.63	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Live win probability — mirage

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

⚡ SPECTER re-prices win probability after every kill, plant and save. Momentum swings visible per round.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows clearly.

⬡ Round-by-round reconstruction runs post-match from validated V4 demo data. Check back after parse.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

dav1deuS nqz333 nython biguzera hardzao venomzera kauez nyezin lux righi