MIBR vs RED Canids — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371156

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-09 FINAL

MIBR

WINNER

2 : 1

SERIES COMPLETE

RED Canids

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

ancient 54% MIBR

overpass 45% MIBR

mirage 46% MIBR

inferno 54% MIBR

anubis 54% MIBR

nuke 48% MIBR

vertigo 52% MIBR

dust2 48% MIBR

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 1

MIBR

SERIES WINNER

MIBR

RED CANIDS

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

ancient 54% MIBR

overpass 45% MIBR

mirage 46% MIBR

inferno 54% MIBR

anubis 54% MIBR

nuke 48% MIBR

vertigo 52% MIBR

dust2 48% MIBR

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

mirage 7 – 13 RED Canids took the map.

ancient 13 – 7 MIBR took the map.

anubis 13 – 9 MIBR took the map.

Side

MIBR WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP insani RIFLER	53	38	15	68%	93.4	68.9%	1.31	9.2
exit	42	39	16	45%	83.0	70.5%	1.12	—
drop	38	34	11	61%	70.4	70.5%	1.06	—
brnz4n RIFLER	31	41	12	58%	60.8	63.9%	0.82	9.1
saffee AWP	30	36	11	27%	58.1	59.0%	0.81	9.1

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP nython	39	33	10	28%	71.4	78.7%	1.15	—
hardzao	43	37	10	44%	82.3	67.2%	1.12	—
dav1deuS	40	45	19	53%	81.0	72.1%	1.05	—
venomzera RIFLER	34	40	12	41%	67.2	63.9%	0.90	9.1
righi	28	40	8	21%	54.4	55.7%	0.70	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
insani	15	13	4	67%	84.6	63.2%	1.13	9.2
exit	12	13	3	50%	76.2	73.7%	1.04	—
drop	10	10	3	70%	58.4	68.4%	0.94	—
saffee	8	13	4	25%	58.7	57.9%	0.69	9.1
brnz4n	6	15	3	33%	44.5	52.6%	0.46	9.1

RED Canids WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
dav1deuS	18	15	7	56%	106.0	84.2%	1.45	—
hardzao	16	8	3	63%	94.6	73.7%	1.42	—
nython	11	7	5	18%	69.8	94.7%	1.31	—
venomzera	13	11	4	31%	71.7	73.7%	1.13	9.1
righi	5	10	2	0%	35.3	52.6%	0.52	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
insani	20	10	4	65%	99.1	76.2%	1.52	9.2
drop	18	10	4	50%	82.8	85.7%	1.46	—
saffee	15	10	2	33%	65.6	66.7%	1.13	9.1
brnz4n	14	12	4	79%	78.2	71.4%	1.12	9.1
exit	11	15	6	55%	66.1	71.4%	0.90	—

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
righi	19	18	0	26%	91.3	57.1%	1.10	—
dav1deuS	13	16	7	38%	71.9	61.9%	0.91	—
hardzao	11	17	5	18%	61.6	61.9%	0.76	—
nython	9	13	2	22%	43.7	66.7%	0.74	—
venomzera	5	15	3	40%	32.1	57.1%	0.42	9.1

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
exit	19	11	7	37%	106.1	66.7%	1.42	—
insani	18	15	7	72%	95.6	66.7%	1.25	9.2
brnz4n	11	14	5	45%	58.1	66.7%	0.86	9.1
drop	10	14	4	70%	68.9	57.1%	0.77	—
saffee	7	13	5	14%	50.1	52.4%	0.59	9.1

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nython	19	13	3	37%	100.5	76.2%	1.41	—
hardzao	16	12	2	44%	91.9	66.7%	1.21	—
venomzera	16	14	5	50%	98.3	61.9%	1.16	9.1
dav1deuS	9	14	5	67%	67.4	71.4%	0.84	—
righi	4	12	6	25%	34.9	57.1%	0.48	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = MIBR · Magenta = RED Canids. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

insani nython exit hardzao drop dav1deuS venomzera brnz4n saffee righi