paiN vs MIBR — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371153

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-08 FINAL

paiN

CHALLENGER

1 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

MIBR

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

ancient 38% paiN

inferno 43% paiN

mirage 57% paiN

dust2 57% paiN

overpass 42% paiN

nuke 53% paiN

vertigo 52% paiN

anubis 50% paiN

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

1 : 2

MIBR

SERIES WINNER

PAIN

MIBR

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

ancient 38% paiN

inferno 43% paiN

mirage 57% paiN

dust2 57% paiN

overpass 42% paiN

nuke 53% paiN

vertigo 52% paiN

anubis 50% paiN

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

nuke 16 – 14 paiN took the map.

anubis 7 – 13 MIBR took the map.

vertigo 11 – 13 MIBR took the map.

Side

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP biguzera ENTRY	55	57	15	56%	87.4	70.3%	1.11	8.9
lux	46	48	11	43%	71.7	70.3%	1.01	—
nqz	42	44	13	21%	63.7	63.5%	0.92	—
nyezin	41	50	10	41%	59.8	66.2%	0.87	—
kauez	36	55	14	53%	62.3	58.1%	0.73	—

MIBR WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP saffee AWP	53	38	20	40%	84.3	78.4%	1.28	9.1
drop	58	49	11	48%	86.1	73.0%	1.21	—
brnz4n RIFLER	54	50	19	52%	82.9	75.7%	1.18	9.1
insani RIFLER	56	47	10	61%	79.2	64.9%	1.12	9.2
exit	31	49	24	39%	62.7	71.6%	0.83	—

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
biguzera	22	22	6	50%	94.8	72.4%	1.17	8.9
nqz	20	17	5	20%	79.3	62.1%	1.07	—
nyezin	18	17	5	33%	70.0	69.0%	1.03	—
lux	18	21	6	44%	75.5	69.0%	0.98	—
kauez	16	23	4	63%	62.5	55.2%	0.73	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
saffee	24	16	8	46%	104.2	72.4%	1.37	9.1
drop	23	22	7	48%	89.0	75.9%	1.21	—
brnz4n	21	19	6	48%	79.8	72.4%	1.14	9.1
insani	17	23	4	53%	73.4	55.2%	0.80	9.2
exit`	11	20	9	45%	63.3	69.0%	0.76	—

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
lux	14	10	2	50%	79.3	73.7%	1.22	—
biguzera	13	16	6	77%	91.1	63.2%	0.99	8.9
nqz	8	12	4	38%	54.5	63.2%	0.75	—
kauez	8	13	2	63%	52.4	47.4%	0.59	—
nyezin	6	15	4	33%	43.6	57.9%	0.50	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
drop	17	10	2	47%	96.3	73.7%	1.41	—
insani	16	9	4	75%	101.3	68.4%	1.38	9.2
saffee	13	9	5	31%	78.2	89.5%	1.33	9.1
brnz4n	12	13	7	50%	77.4	79.0%	1.10	9.1
exit`	9	12	5	33%	63.0	79.0%	0.94	—

paiN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
biguzera	20	19	3	50%	76.5	73.1%	1.13	8.9
nyezin	17	18	1	53%	60.2	69.2%	0.96	—
lux	14	17	3	36%	62.0	69.2%	0.89	—
nqz	14	15	4	14%	53.0	65.4%	0.88	—
kauez	12	19	8	33%	69.2	69.2%	0.83	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
insani	23	15	2	57%	69.4	73.1%	1.28	9.2
brnz4n	21	18	6	57%	90.4	76.9%	1.26	9.1
saffee	16	13	7	38%	66.6	76.9%	1.13	9.1
drop	18	17	2	50%	75.5	69.2%	1.07	—
exit	11	17	10	36%	61.9	69.2%	0.82	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = paiN · Magenta = MIBR. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

saffee drop brnz4n insani biguzera lux nqz nyezin exit kauez