BESTIA vs RED Canids — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371149

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-09 FINAL

BESTIA

CHALLENGER

0 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

RED Canids

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

dust2 60% BESTIA

nuke 47% BESTIA

overpass 52% BESTIA

mirage 52% BESTIA

inferno 51% BESTIA

ancient 49% BESTIA

anubis 51% BESTIA

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

0 : 2

RED Canids

SERIES WINNER

BESTIA

—

RED CANIDS

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

dust2 60% BESTIA

nuke 47% BESTIA

overpass 52% BESTIA

mirage 52% BESTIA

inferno 51% BESTIA

ancient 49% BESTIA

anubis 51% BESTIA

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

mirage 12 – 16 RED Canids took the map.

anubis 12 – 16 RED Canids took the map.

Side

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP meyern AWP	29	28	12	48%	88.0	77.5%	1.19	9.7
Noktse	27	28	12	59%	84.6	62.5%	1.03	—
tomaszin-	28	25	4	46%	71.5	62.5%	1.03	—
naz	19	27	8	58%	60.5	60.0%	0.76	—
luchov RIFLER	14	26	10	79%	49.3	57.5%	0.62	9.7
▸ Observers (1)
Toji -\|-	— observer —

RED Canids WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP nython	36	22	9	31%	103.9	72.5%	1.43	—
dav1deuS	33	25	8	52%	88.7	72.5%	1.28	—
righi	22	23	11	32%	70.4	77.5%	1.05	—
venomzera RIFLER	22	26	7	36%	71.1	65.0%	0.91	9.0
hardzao	18	22	6	50%	56.5	62.5%	0.81	—

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
meyern	23	21	7	39%	93.3	81.5%	1.30	9.7
Noktse	19	21	11	68%	95.2	59.3%	1.03	—
naz	17	19	6	53%	73.6	59.3%	0.92	—
tomaszin-	15	16	4	33%	54.2	59.3%	0.85	—
luchov	9	18	8	78%	54.3	63.0%	0.66	9.7

RED Canids WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nython	26	16	7	42%	111.7	70.4%	1.48	—
righi	19	15	7	37%	82.7	85.2%	1.29	—
dav1deuS	21	20	7	48%	89.8	66.7%	1.14	—
hardzao	14	15	5	64%	62.2	63.0%	0.89	—
venomzera	15	18	4	40%	68.4	59.3%	0.85	9.0

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
tomaszin-	13	9	0	62%	107.4	69.2%	1.41	—
Noktse	8	7	1	38%	62.5	69.2%	1.02	—
meyern	6	7	5	83%	77.0	69.2%	0.96	9.7
luchov	5	8	2	80%	38.9	46.2%	0.54	9.7
naz	2	8	2	100%	33.3	61.5%	0.44	—
▸ Observers (1)
Toji -\|-	— observer —

RED Canids WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
dav1deuS	12	5	1	58%	86.5	84.6%	1.56	—
nython	10	6	2	0%	87.8	76.9%	1.34	—
venomzera	7	8	3	29%	76.7	76.9%	1.03	9.0
hardzao	4	7	1	0%	44.6	61.5%	0.64	—
righi	3	8	4	0%	44.9	61.5%	0.56	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Live win probability — mirage

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

⚡ SPECTER re-prices win probability after every kill, plant and save. Momentum swings visible per round.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows clearly.

⬡ Round-by-round reconstruction runs post-match from validated V4 demo data. Check back after parse.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

nython dav1deuS meyern righi Noktse tomaszin- venomzera hardzao naz luchov