Imperial vs BESTIA — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2371146

HLTV

T3 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-04 FINAL

Imperial

WINNER

2 : 1

SERIES COMPLETE

BESTIA

CHALLENGER

/// CQ-GESUS SUITE

No predictions for this match yet.

ORACLE NEXUS MIRAGE

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

ancient 37% Imperial

anubis 53% Imperial

mirage 52% Imperial

dust2 52% Imperial

nuke 52% Imperial

inferno 48% Imperial

overpass 51% Imperial

vertigo 51% WR (20/39)

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

mirage 13 – 3 Imperial took the map.

nuke 13 – 3 Imperial took the map.

anubis 1 – 13 BESTIA took the map.

Side

Imperial WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP hen1	35	27	10	40%	95.3	84.8%	1.35	—
noway	41	32	12	68%	105.3	67.4%	1.32	—
decenty	34	28	4	56%	77.3	76.1%	1.19	—
VINI RIFLER	33	31	16	42%	81.2	67.4%	1.11	8.6
felps	32	30	15	41%	86.4	63.0%	1.08	—
▸ Observers (1)
pino -\|-	— observer —

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP meyern AWP	46	31	10	72%	108.6	71.7%	1.46	9.7
naz	32	34	7	56%	83.7	65.2%	1.03	—
tomaszin-	23	35	11	65%	70.9	69.6%	0.85	—
luchov RIFLER	27	38	8	52%	79.5	47.8%	0.75	9.7
noktse	20	37	7	40%	52.8	47.8%	0.54	—

Imperial WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
noway	21	8	6	71%	146.6	93.8%	2.12	—
felps	15	9	8	27%	117.0	81.3%	1.59	—
VINI	17	10	7	47%	108.8	68.8%	1.54	8.6
hen1	11	6	6	27%	88.9	93.8%	1.46	—
decenty	9	6	2	33%	55.0	75.0%	1.08	—

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
tomaszin-	9	14	3	67%	85.4	68.8%	0.88	—
meyern	11	14	2	64%	72.6	50.0%	0.80	9.7
naz	7	14	1	71%	53.2	43.8%	0.47	—
luchov	6	15	0	33%	53.6	31.3%	0.29	9.7
noktse	6	16	2	17%	36.7	37.5%	0.26	—

Imperial WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
decenty	15	8	2	67%	92.5	93.8%	1.60	—
hen1	13	8	4	46%	98.3	100.0%	1.57	—
felps	14	8	5	50%	106.6	75.0%	1.47	—
noway	15	11	4	60%	111.4	62.5%	1.34	—
VINI	12	8	3	25%	73.8	68.8%	1.20	8.6

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
meyern	13	12	3	69%	92.5	75.0%	1.23	9.7
naz	14	13	0	43%	103.3	68.8%	1.22	—
luchov	8	15	4	25%	82.1	50.0%	0.65	9.7
tomaszin-	5	14	5	80%	54.1	62.5%	0.53	—
noktse	3	15	4	33%	43.9	31.3%	0.12	—

Imperial

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
hen1	11	13	0	45%	99.2	57.1%	0.98	—
decenty	10	14	0	60%	85.3	57.1%	0.84	—
VINI	4	13	6	75%	57.9	64.3%	0.51	8.6
noway	5	13	2	80%	51.0	42.9%	0.37	—
felps	3	13	2	67%	28.3	28.6%	0.07	—
▸ Observers (1)
pino -\|-	— observer —

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
meyern	22	5	5	77%	168.2	92.9%	2.48	9.7
naz	11	7	6	64%	96.3	85.7%	1.45	—
luchov	13	8	4	77%	106.4	64.3%	1.40	9.7
noktse	11	6	1	55%	81.4	78.6%	1.35	—
tomaszin-	9	7	3	56%	73.4	78.6%	1.18	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Live win probability — mirage

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

⚡ SPECTER re-prices win probability after every kill, plant and save. Momentum swings visible per round.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows clearly.

⬡ Round-by-round reconstruction runs post-match from validated V4 demo data. Check back after parse.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

meyern hen1 noway decenty VINI felps naz tomaszin- luchov noktse