Verdant vs Reason — CounterQuant

T3 BO3 CS2 2024-04-01

Verdant Winner

2 : 1

Verdant wins

Reason

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	Verdant	Reason	Edge
vertigo	47% (17/36)	100% (2/2)	-53pp
overpass	75% (3/4)	50% (3/6)	+25pp
dust2	57% (4/7)	33% (4/12)	+24pp
inferno	31% (5/16)	46% (6/13)	-15pp
ancient	39% (17/44)	46% (13/28)	-7pp
nuke	52% (25/48)	54% (15/28)	-2pp
mirage	43% (3/7)	42% (14/33)	+1pp
anubis	30% (12/40)	29% (4/14)	+1pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

Verdant bans

anubis 30% WR

inferno 31% WR

Reason bans

dust2 33% WR

mirage 42% WR

Verdant pick

overpass

60% — Verdant favored

Decider

vertigo

68% Reason

Decider

ancient

54% Reason

Reason pick

nuke

51% — Reason favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

vertigo

32%

68%

Reason

overpass

60%

40%

Verdant

dust2

63%

37%

Verdant

inferno

40%

60%

Reason

ancient

46%

54%

even

nuke

49%

51%

even

mirage

51%

49%

even

anubis

51%

49%

even

Verdant on left · Reason on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Verdant WIN
MVP Girafffe SUPPORT	57	38	12	44%	98.7	83.9%	1.48	5.5
arTisT AWP	46	41	15	39%	81.6	75.8%	1.19	6.4
Zax1e	50	42	9	72%	87.8	64.5%	1.16	—
Ducky	42	43	15	50%	82.1	72.6%	1.09	—
Vacancy ENTRY	41	45	20	49%	81.0	64.5%	1.01	4.7
Reason
MVP Byfield	54	45	8	31%	84.1	66.1%	1.19	—
FincHY	49	49	10	55%	86.4	62.9%	1.08	—
cJe	44	54	13	48%	79.5	54.8%	0.89	—
Cha0s	31	43	14	58%	63.8	64.5%	0.82	—
Rezzed	31	48	14	55%	63.8	61.3%	0.76	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Verdant WIN
Girafffe	23	14	6	30%	121.5	95.2%	1.77	5.5
artist	19	14	5	47%	102.4	81.0%	1.43	6.4
Ducky	16	13	5	56%	88.1	81.0%	1.29	—
Vacancy	13	15	8	54%	79.4	61.9%	0.96	4.7
Zax1e	12	13	3	83%	67.7	57.1%	0.87	—
Reason
Byfield	19	16	4	26%	95.7	66.7%	1.25	—
FincHY	18	16	2	44%	80.5	57.1%	1.08	—
cJe	12	18	6	50%	71.1	52.4%	0.74	—
MVP Rezzed	12	18	4	58%	69.2	52.4%	0.72	—
MVP Cha0s	7	16	3	57%	50.7	61.9%	0.57	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Verdant WIN
Zax1e	23	13	5	61%	122.2	83.3%	1.81	—
Girafffe	19	8	2	53%	98.4	94.4%	1.75	5.5
Ducky	13	12	5	46%	80.3	72.2%	1.14	—
artist	10	12	3	20%	57.4	77.8%	0.96	6.4
Vacancy	11	13	5	64%	71.5	66.7%	0.95	4.7
Reason
cJe	17	17	1	53%	87.7	61.1%	1.11	—
FincHY	11	16	5	45%	81.1	77.8%	0.97	—
MVP Cha0s	9	14	8	56%	70.2	77.8%	0.92	—
Byfield	12	16	2	25%	55.5	61.1%	0.80	—
MVP Rezzed	10	14	2	60%	66.8	61.1%	0.80	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Verdant
artist	17	15	7	41%	81.5	69.6%	1.15	6.4
Vacancy	17	17	7	35%	89.8	65.2%	1.10	4.7
Girafffe	15	16	4	53%	78.1	65.2%	1.00	5.5
Zax1e	15	16	1	80%	79.3	56.5%	0.93	—
Ducky	13	18	5	46%	78.2	65.2%	0.88	—
Reason WIN
Byfield	23	13	2	39%	96.0	69.6%	1.45	—
FincHY	20	17	3	70%	95.9	56.5%	1.15	—
MVP Cha0s	15	13	3	60%	70.7	56.5%	0.98	—
cJe	15	19	6	40%	80.7	52.2%	0.85	—
MVP Rezzed	9	16	8	44%	56.4	69.6%	0.75	—

Teams

Players in this match

Girafffe Byfield arTisT Zax1e Ducky FincHY Vacancy cJe Cha0s Rezzed