BESTIA vs Sharks — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2370794

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-03 FINAL

BESTIA

WINNER

2 : 0

SERIES COMPLETE

Sharks

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

overpass 61% BESTIA

anubis 44% BESTIA

dust2 45% BESTIA

ancient 45% BESTIA

mirage 55% BESTIA

inferno 52% BESTIA

nuke 50% BESTIA

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 0

BESTIA

SERIES WINNER

BESTIA

SHARKS

—

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

overpass 61% BESTIA

anubis 44% BESTIA

dust2 45% BESTIA

ancient 45% BESTIA

mirage 55% BESTIA

inferno 52% BESTIA

nuke 50% BESTIA

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

inferno 13 – 9 BESTIA took the map.

ancient 13 – 8 BESTIA took the map.

Side

BESTIA WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP tomaszin	35	27	14	37%	93.7	83.7%	1.37	—
naz	33	26	13	70%	100.8	74.4%	1.30	—
Noktse	34	28	10	29%	85.2	69.8%	1.20	—
meyern AWP	27	26	11	59%	72.9	74.4%	1.08	9.8
luchov RIFLER	28	29	8	61%	76.4	60.5%	0.97	9.8
▸ Observers (2)
Coach \| coachi	— observer —
Coach \| pino	— observer —

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP rdnzao RIFLER	40	32	11	53%	107.8	69.8%	1.35	9.2
togs	26	32	8	69%	78.8	55.8%	0.87	—
doc RIFLER	23	30	10	43%	66.3	60.5%	0.83	9.1
supLex	20	28	12	40%	57.5	67.4%	0.82	—
drg	22	34	15	64%	69.9	58.1%	0.77	—

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
tomaszin	18	13	7	33%	101.6	81.8%	1.41	—
naz	15	12	7	67%	99.2	72.7%	1.24	—
Noktse	16	16	7	31%	85.0	68.2%	1.10	—
meyern	13	14	5	46%	65.2	68.2%	0.96	9.8
luchov	11	15	3	45%	51.3	54.6%	0.71	9.8
▸ Observers (2)
Coach \| coachi	— observer —
Coach \| pino	— observer —

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
rdnzao	24	13	5	46%	111.6	72.7%	1.60	9.2
doc	13	13	5	54%	74.8	59.1%	0.95	9.1
supLex	11	13	8	36%	60.4	72.7%	0.94	—
togs	12	16	3	92%	75.4	50.0%	0.77	—
drg	9	17	8	67%	59.7	59.1%	0.66	—

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
naz	18	14	6	72%	102.5	76.2%	1.36	—
tomaszin	17	14	7	41%	85.5	85.7%	1.34	—
Noktse	18	12	3	28%	85.4	71.4%	1.31	—
luchov	17	14	5	71%	102.7	66.7%	1.25	9.8
meyern	14	12	6	71%	81.0	81.0%	1.21	9.8
▸ Observers (2)
Coach \| pino	— observer —
Coach \| coachi	— observer —

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
rdnzao	16	19	6	63%	103.7	66.7%	1.09	9.2
togs	14	16	5	50%	82.3	61.9%	0.97	—
drg	13	17	7	62%	80.6	57.1%	0.87	—
doc	10	17	5	30%	57.4	61.9%	0.70	9.1
supLex	9	15	4	44%	54.6	61.9%	0.70	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = BESTIA · Magenta = Sharks. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

tomaszin rdnzao naz Noktse meyern luchov togs doc supLex drg