BESTIA vs Fluxo — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2370792

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-04-02 FINAL

BESTIA

CHALLENGER

0 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

Fluxo

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

anubis 63% BESTIA

overpass 58% BESTIA

ancient 44% BESTIA

dust2 53% BESTIA

inferno 53% BESTIA

nuke 48% BESTIA

mirage 51% BESTIA

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

0 : 2

Fluxo

SERIES WINNER

BESTIA

—

FLUXO

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

anubis 63% BESTIA

overpass 58% BESTIA

ancient 44% BESTIA

dust2 53% BESTIA

inferno 53% BESTIA

nuke 48% BESTIA

mirage 51% BESTIA

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

nuke 9 – 13 Fluxo took the map.

overpass 2 – 13 Fluxo took the map.

Side

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP Noktse	30	27	8	40%	92.2	64.9%	1.16	—
naz	30	30	3	57%	88.1	62.2%	1.07	—
luchov RIFLER	19	27	10	74%	74.9	54.1%	0.78	9.7
tomaszin	12	30	10	67%	54.3	59.5%	0.55	—
meyern AWP	14	27	3	43%	53.8	48.7%	0.54	9.7
▸ Observers (2)
Coach \| pino	— observer —
Coach \| turner	— observer —

Fluxo WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP v$m	34	19	6	50%	96.7	78.4%	1.48	—
chay	36	21	8	53%	113.9	67.6%	1.48	—
Lucaozy	25	23	8	44%	78.4	67.6%	1.08	—
PKL ENTRY	21	21	10	52%	76.0	70.3%	1.03	6.8
Zevy	24	22	6	38%	72.8	62.2%	1.01	—

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
naz	21	16	2	48%	101.0	63.6%	1.30	—
Noktse	16	15	4	31%	81.8	59.1%	1.04	—
luchov	12	13	6	58%	76.0	54.6%	0.89	9.7
tomaszin	9	16	7	67%	71.3	72.7%	0.82	—
meyern	8	14	1	63%	50.4	54.6%	0.60	9.7
▸ Observers (2)
Coach \| pino	— observer —
Coach \| turner	— observer —

Fluxo WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
v$m	15	11	2	53%	68.7	77.3%	1.18	—
Lucaozy	16	14	4	50%	83.4	72.7%	1.17	—
chay	16	15	3	50%	95.6	54.6%	1.04	—
PKL	13	12	3	54%	72.4	63.6%	0.99	6.8
Zevy	13	14	2	54%	61.7	50.0%	0.81	—

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
Noktse	14	12	4	50%	107.4	73.3%	1.35	—
naz	9	14	1	78%	69.3	60.0%	0.75	—
luchov	7	14	4	100%	73.3	53.3%	0.62	9.7
meyern	6	13	2	17%	58.9	40.0%	0.44	9.7
tomaszin	3	14	3	67%	29.4	40.0%	0.14	—
▸ Observers (2)
Coach \| turner	— observer —
Coach \| pino	— observer —

Fluxo WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
chay	20	6	5	55%	140.7	86.7%	2.12	—
v$m	19	8	4	47%	137.8	80.0%	1.92	—
Zevy	11	8	4	18%	89.1	80.0%	1.31	—
PKL	8	9	7	50%	81.4	80.0%	1.09	6.8
Lucaozy	9	9	4	33%	71.1	60.0%	0.95	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Live win probability — nuke

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

⚡ SPECTER re-prices win probability after every kill, plant and save. Momentum swings visible per round.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows clearly.

⬡ Round-by-round reconstruction runs post-match from validated V4 demo data. Check back after parse.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

v$m chay Noktse Lucaozy naz PKL Zevy luchov tomaszin meyern