MIBR vs Sharks — CounterQuant

T2 BO3 CS2 2024-04-03

MIBR Winner

2 : 1

MIBR wins

Sharks

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	MIBR	Sharks	Edge
dust2	38% (3/8)	75% (6/8)	-37pp
inferno	66% (63/96)	56% (67/120)	+10pp
anubis	63% (69/109)	70% (81/116)	-7pp
overpass	47% (14/30)	42% (10/24)	+5pp
vertigo	60% (49/82)	55% (42/77)	+5pp
mirage	47% (43/91)	50% (66/133)	-3pp
nuke	59% (72/122)	57% (114/199)	+2pp
ancient	65% (72/111)	64% (82/128)	+1pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

MIBR bans

dust2 38% WR

mirage 47% WR

Sharks bans

overpass 42% WR

vertigo 55% WR

MIBR pick

inferno

54% — MIBR favored

Decider

ancient

50% MIBR

Decider

nuke

51% MIBR

Sharks pick

anubis

53% — Sharks favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

dust2

34%

66%

Sharks

inferno

54%

46%

even

anubis

47%

53%

even

overpass

53%

47%

even

vertigo

52%

48%

even

mirage

48%

52%

even

nuke

51%

49%

even

ancient

50%

even

MIBR on left · Sharks on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MIBR WIN
MVP exit	50	35	16	54%	96.2	80.0%	1.39	—
insani RIFLER	48	37	15	58%	94.2	75.0%	1.30	9.3
saffee AWP	44	40	10	48%	88.8	71.7%	1.16	9.0
brnz4n RIFLER	40	44	13	65%	81.4	63.3%	0.99	8.9
drop	27	37	13	48%	55.8	68.3%	0.82	—
Sharks
MVP doc	40	45	18	53%	91.3	63.3%	1.02	—
drg	43	47	9	63%	79.8	63.3%	1.00	—
togs	35	43	13	54%	70.3	68.3%	0.93	—
supLex	34	34	10	35%	62.0	61.7%	0.92	—
rdnzao	37	45	12	68%	75.3	61.7%	0.91	—
▸ Observers / Coaches (2)
Coach \| nak	— observer —
Coach \| coachi	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MIBR
saffee	20	13	6	35%	100.2	81.8%	1.48	9.0
drop	17	12	6	47%	90.3	81.8%	1.35	—
exit	16	10	3	50%	78.1	81.8%	1.31	—
insani	16	18	6	75%	96.3	59.1%	1.02	9.3
brnz4n	13	15	2	46%	66.3	54.6%	0.83	8.9
Sharks
rdnzao	19	16	2	79%	96.3	59.1%	1.17	—
supLex	15	13	1	33%	69.0	54.6%	0.96	—
drg	13	18	1	54%	64.9	54.6%	0.75	—
togs	11	18	5	55%	68.3	54.6%	0.70	—
doc	8	18	9	75%	75.4	59.1%	0.65	—
▸ Observers (2)
Coach \| coachi	— observer —
Coach \| nak	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MIBR
insani	15	12	3	47%	82.2	85.0%	1.29	9.3
exit	14	14	7	64%	85.7	65.0%	1.08	—
saffee	11	15	2	55%	73.6	70.0%	0.89	9.0
brnz4n	9	14	3	78%	55.5	65.0%	0.74	8.9
drop	6	14	2	33%	37.1	55.0%	0.48	—
Sharks
doc	22	13	2	41%	118.9	70.0%	1.57	—
drg	19	13	7	63%	104.6	75.0%	1.45	—
togs	13	9	6	46%	78.6	85.0%	1.29	—
supLex	8	9	5	50%	49.3	75.0%	0.90	—
rdnzao	7	15	6	29%	47.6	50.0%	0.51	—
▸ Observers (2)
Coach \| nak	— observer —
Coach \| coachi	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MIBR
exit	20	11	6	50%	130.1	94.4%	1.84	—
insani	17	7	6	53%	105.1	83.3%	1.65	9.3
brnz4n	18	15	8	72%	128.7	72.2%	1.47	8.9
saffee	13	12	2	62%	91.7	61.1%	1.08	9.0
drop	4	11	5	75%	34.3	66.7%	0.55	—
Sharks
rdnzao	11	14	4	73%	80.4	77.8%	1.02	—
supLex	11	12	4	27%	67.7	55.6%	0.88	—
doc	10	14	7	60%	79.9	61.1%	0.87	—
togs	11	16	2	64%	63.6	66.7%	0.82	—
drg	11	16	1	73%	70.3	61.1%	0.79	—
▸ Observers (2)
Coach \| nak	— observer —
Coach \| coachi	— observer —

Teams

Players in this match

exit insani saffee doc drg brnz4n togs supLex rdnzao drop