FlyQuest RED vs Shimmer

T2 BO3 CS2 2024-03-04

FlyQuest RED Winner

2 : 0

FlyQuest RED wins

Shimmer

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	FlyQuest RED	Shimmer	Edge
nuke	21% (4/19)	64% (14/22)	-43pp
vertigo	90% (9/10)	50% (4/8)	+40pp
ancient	31% (4/13)	61% (17/28)	-30pp
mirage	63% (38/60)	46% (22/48)	+17pp
overpass	58% (11/19)	43% (10/23)	+15pp
dust2	41% (15/37)	45% (9/20)	-4pp
inferno	38% (9/24)	41% (7/17)	-3pp
anubis	67% (12/18)	67% (6/9)	0pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

FlyQuest RED bans

nuke 21% WR

ancient 31% WR

Shimmer bans

inferno 41% WR

overpass 43% WR

FlyQuest RED pick

vertigo

64% — FlyQuest RED favored

Decider

dust2

52% Shimmer

Decider

mirage

58% FlyQuest RED

Shimmer pick

anubis

50% — Shimmer favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

nuke

25%

75%

Shimmer

vertigo

64%

36%

FlyQuest RED

ancient

34%

66%

Shimmer

mirage

58%

42%

FlyQuest RED

overpass

57%

43%

FlyQuest RED

dust2

48%

52%

even

inferno

48%

52%

even

anubis

50%

even

FlyQuest RED on left · Shimmer on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
MVP Emy AWP	44	26	14	48%	115.3	78.6%	1.61	1.2
vanessa	34	22	11	47%	80.2	85.7%	1.39	—
GooseBreeder	36	26	11	28%	83.0	83.3%	1.37	—
bibiahn	31	24	10	55%	76.4	73.8%	1.20	—
Kaoday	24	30	13	38%	68.5	81.0%	1.02	—
Shimmer
MVP interlude	32	34	7	59%	85.3	59.5%	1.01	—
madss	29	33	3	62%	70.9	64.3%	0.94	—
_Lx-	29	29	5	38%	74.3	54.8%	0.94	—
phoebe	14	37	11	43%	48.0	57.1%	0.48	—
empathy RIFLER	16	37	7	44%	56.4	35.7%	0.38	3.6
▸ Observers / Coaches (2)
Munsturb0y	— observer —
yeldn1L	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
emy	26	12	7	42%	115.1	82.6%	1.76	1.2
GooseBreeder	20	14	6	40%	84.9	87.0%	1.42	—
Kaoday	15	14	8	27%	73.4	95.7%	1.27	—
bibiahn	16	12	5	69%	71.4	73.9%	1.18	—
vanessa	14	13	5	43%	58.4	82.6%	1.10	—
Shimmer
madss	19	18	3	63%	83.6	69.6%	1.15	—
_Lx-	16	17	3	31%	77.7	56.5%	0.94	—
interlude	15	20	3	53%	69.5	56.5%	0.81	—
Ridge	10	19	3	40%	59.8	34.8%	0.46	3.6
phoebe	7	20	6	29%	41.2	52.2%	0.40	—
▸ Observers (2)
yeldn1L	— observer —
Munsturb0y	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
vanessa	20	9	6	50%	106.5	89.5%	1.74	—
emy	18	14	7	56%	115.5	73.7%	1.43	1.2
GooseBreeder	16	12	5	13%	80.6	79.0%	1.31	—
bibiahn	15	12	5	40%	82.4	73.7%	1.24	—
Kaoday	9	16	5	56%	62.5	63.2%	0.71	—
Shimmer
interlude	17	14	4	65%	104.5	63.2%	1.26	—
_Lx-	13	12	2	46%	70.3	52.6%	0.94	—
madss	10	15	0	60%	55.5	57.9%	0.70	—
phoebe	7	17	5	57%	56.2	63.2%	0.57	—
Ridge	6	18	4	50%	52.2	36.8%	0.29	3.6
▸ Observers (2)
yeldn1L	— observer —
Munsturb0y	— observer —

Teams

Players in this match

Emy vanessa GooseBreeder bibiahn Kaoday interlude madss _Lx- phoebe empathy