FlyQuest RED vs Shimmer

T2 BO3 CS2 2024-02-26

FlyQuest RED Winner

2 : 0

FlyQuest RED wins

Shimmer

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	FlyQuest RED	Shimmer	Edge
nuke	21% (4/19)	64% (14/22)	-43pp
vertigo	90% (9/10)	50% (4/8)	+40pp
ancient	31% (4/13)	61% (17/28)	-30pp
mirage	63% (38/60)	46% (22/48)	+17pp
overpass	58% (11/19)	43% (10/23)	+15pp
dust2	41% (15/37)	45% (9/20)	-4pp
inferno	38% (9/24)	41% (7/17)	-3pp
anubis	67% (12/18)	67% (6/9)	0pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

FlyQuest RED bans

nuke 21% WR

ancient 31% WR

Shimmer bans

inferno 41% WR

overpass 43% WR

FlyQuest RED pick

vertigo

64% — FlyQuest RED favored

Decider

dust2

52% Shimmer

Decider

mirage

58% FlyQuest RED

Shimmer pick

anubis

50% — Shimmer favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

nuke

25%

75%

Shimmer

vertigo

64%

36%

FlyQuest RED

ancient

34%

66%

Shimmer

mirage

58%

42%

FlyQuest RED

overpass

57%

43%

FlyQuest RED

dust2

48%

52%

even

inferno

48%

52%

even

anubis

50%

even

FlyQuest RED on left · Shimmer on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
MVP bibiahn	37	24	15	43%	100.6	85.7%	1.50	—
Kaoday	32	22	8	25%	81.0	81.0%	1.31	—
GooseBreeder	34	24	7	38%	87.0	73.8%	1.29	—
vanessa	30	22	10	53%	79.4	78.6%	1.25	—
Emy AWP	35	29	8	57%	94.4	66.7%	1.22	1.2
Shimmer
MVP _Lx-	25	30	7	52%	74.8	59.5%	0.89	—
interlude	28	34	8	61%	83.3	52.4%	0.87	—
bladee	24	30	6	54%	67.4	54.8%	0.80	—
madss	22	33	8	55%	69.8	61.9%	0.79	—
empathy RIFLER	14	37	5	43%	52.5	47.6%	0.41	3.6
▸ Observers / Coaches (2)
Munsturb0y	— observer —
yeldn1L	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
bibiahn	18	8	7	44%	115.6	88.9%	1.75	—
emy	19	9	2	68%	108.7	72.2%	1.59	1.2
Kaoday	13	7	5	31%	90.8	94.4%	1.49	—
vanessa	13	6	4	69%	78.6	83.3%	1.39	—
GooseBreeder	13	9	3	38%	76.1	72.2%	1.21	—
Shimmer
madss	16	14	1	50%	97.2	55.6%	1.14	—
bladee	9	16	3	44%	63.3	50.0%	0.60	—
interlude	7	17	1	71%	56.1	33.3%	0.32	—
_Lx-	5	16	3	40%	54.4	38.9%	0.30	—
Ridge	3	18	2	67%	39.6	27.8%	0.01	3.6
▸ Observers (2)
yeldn1L	— observer —
Munsturb0y	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
GooseBreeder	21	15	4	38%	95.3	75.0%	1.35	—
bibiahn	19	16	8	42%	89.3	83.3%	1.32	—
Kaoday	19	15	3	21%	73.6	70.8%	1.18	—
vanessa	17	16	6	41%	80.0	75.0%	1.15	—
emy	16	20	6	44%	83.7	62.5%	0.94	1.2
Shimmer
_Lx-	20	14	4	55%	90.0	75.0%	1.32	—
interlude	21	17	7	57%	103.8	66.7%	1.29	—
bladee	15	14	3	60%	70.5	58.3%	0.96	—
Ridge	11	19	3	36%	62.2	62.5%	0.70	3.6
madss	6	19	7	67%	49.3	66.7%	0.53	—
▸ Observers (2)
yeldn1L	— observer —
Munsturb0y	— observer —

Teams

Players in this match

bibiahn Kaoday GooseBreeder vanessa Emy _Lx- interlude bladee madss empathy