FlyQuest RED vs Shimmer

T2 BO3 CS2 2024-02-05

FlyQuest RED Winner

2 : 0

FlyQuest RED wins

Shimmer

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	FlyQuest RED	Shimmer	Edge
nuke	21% (4/19)	64% (14/22)	-43pp
vertigo	90% (9/10)	50% (4/8)	+40pp
ancient	31% (4/13)	61% (17/28)	-30pp
mirage	63% (38/60)	46% (22/48)	+17pp
overpass	58% (11/19)	43% (10/23)	+15pp
dust2	41% (15/37)	45% (9/20)	-4pp
inferno	38% (9/24)	41% (7/17)	-3pp
anubis	67% (12/18)	67% (6/9)	0pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

FlyQuest RED bans

nuke 21% WR

ancient 31% WR

Shimmer bans

inferno 41% WR

overpass 43% WR

FlyQuest RED pick

vertigo

64% — FlyQuest RED favored

Decider

dust2

52% Shimmer

Decider

mirage

58% FlyQuest RED

Shimmer pick

anubis

50% — Shimmer favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

nuke

25%

75%

Shimmer

vertigo

64%

36%

FlyQuest RED

ancient

34%

66%

Shimmer

mirage

58%

42%

FlyQuest RED

overpass

57%

43%

FlyQuest RED

dust2

48%

52%

even

inferno

48%

52%

even

anubis

50%

even

FlyQuest RED on left · Shimmer on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
MVP bibiahn	44	18	12	43%	120.2	76.9%	1.77	—
GooseBreeder	32	24	8	44%	85.5	71.8%	1.26	—
vanessa	23	17	14	52%	69.8	82.1%	1.20	—
Kaoday	26	23	12	15%	76.4	82.1%	1.20	—
Emy AWP	26	22	8	62%	74.6	76.9%	1.16	1.2
Shimmer
MVP empathy RIFLER	32	30	10	59%	105.1	66.7%	1.21	3.6
_Lx-	18	29	6	56%	61.5	61.5%	0.73	—
interlude	19	29	5	53%	56.5	53.9%	0.67	—
madss	17	29	4	53%	59.9	56.4%	0.66	—
bladee	13	31	4	46%	44.4	41.0%	0.38	—
▸ Observers / Coaches (1)
Munsturb0y	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
bibiahn	26	13	5	58%	118.0	70.8%	1.63	—
vanessa	16	12	6	50%	73.8	75.0%	1.18	—
Kaoday	16	13	4	13%	73.5	79.2%	1.18	—
GooseBreeder	15	14	4	47%	66.0	70.8%	1.04	—
emy	12	16	4	50%	68.2	70.8%	0.89	1.2
Shimmer
Ridge	24	17	9	63%	122.2	79.2%	1.56	3.6
madss	15	18	3	47%	68.8	66.7%	0.92	—
interlude	11	17	3	73%	56.3	54.2%	0.67	—
_Lx-	9	17	5	78%	54.6	58.3%	0.63	—
bladee	10	19	4	50%	51.9	50.0%	0.55	—
▸ Observers (1)
Munsturb0y	— observer —

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
bibiahn	18	5	7	22%	123.7	86.7%	2.00	—
GooseBreeder	17	10	4	41%	116.7	73.3%	1.62	—
emy	14	6	4	71%	84.9	86.7%	1.59	1.2
Kaoday	10	10	8	20%	81.1	86.7%	1.23	—
vanessa	7	5	8	57%	63.5	93.3%	1.23	—
Shimmer
_Lx-	9	12	1	33%	72.6	66.7%	0.88	—
interlude	8	12	2	25%	56.9	53.3%	0.68	—
Ridge	8	13	1	50%	77.8	46.7%	0.66	3.6
madss	2	11	1	100%	45.7	40.0%	0.23	—
bladee	3	12	0	33%	32.4	26.7%	0.11	—
▸ Observers (1)
Munsturb0y	— observer —

Teams

Players in this match

bibiahn GooseBreeder empathy vanessa Kaoday Emy _Lx- interlude madss bladee