FlyQuest RED vs Shimmer

T2 BO3 CS2 2024-01-29

FlyQuest RED Winner

2 : 0

FlyQuest RED wins

Shimmer

CQ GESUS

Models →

No CQ-GESUS predictions available for this match.

MIRAGE · Per-Map Win Rates

Historical results — all recorded matches on each map

MIRAGE model →

Map	FlyQuest RED	Shimmer	Edge
nuke	21% (4/19)	64% (14/22)	-43pp
vertigo	90% (9/10)	50% (4/8)	+40pp
ancient	31% (4/13)	61% (17/28)	-30pp
mirage	63% (38/60)	46% (22/48)	+17pp
overpass	58% (11/19)	43% (10/23)	+15pp
dust2	41% (15/37)	45% (9/20)	-4pp
inferno	38% (9/24)	41% (7/17)	-3pp
anubis	67% (12/18)	67% (6/9)	0pp

Win rates from all recorded CS2 results in the CQ database. Edge = team1 win rate − team2 win rate on this map. Large edges (>10pp) signal map specialists.

MIRAGE · Veto Forecast + Map Win Probabilities

BO3 ban/pick simulation · each team bans worst maps, picks best

MIRAGE model →

Predicted BO3 Veto Sequence

FlyQuest RED bans

nuke 21% WR

ancient 31% WR

Shimmer bans

inferno 41% WR

overpass 43% WR

FlyQuest RED pick

vertigo

64% — FlyQuest RED favored

Decider

dust2

52% Shimmer

Decider

mirage

58% FlyQuest RED

Shimmer pick

anubis

50% — Shimmer favored

Per-Map Win Probability — If This Map Is Played

nuke

25%

75%

Shimmer

vertigo

64%

36%

FlyQuest RED

ancient

34%

66%

Shimmer

mirage

58%

42%

FlyQuest RED

overpass

57%

43%

FlyQuest RED

dust2

48%

52%

even

inferno

48%

52%

even

anubis

50%

even

FlyQuest RED on left · Shimmer on right · Win prob = each team's historical WR normalised head-to-head on that map · Veto simulates BO3: team bans 2 worst, picks best remaining

Side

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
MVP Kaoday	45	24	16	44%	115.1	81.0%	1.68	—
vanessa	33	26	7	64%	90.4	78.6%	1.29	—
GooseBreeder	33	26	13	45%	79.8	71.4%	1.22	—
bibiahn	28	27	13	50%	73.6	66.7%	1.05	—
Emy AWP	28	27	8	32%	70.7	61.9%	0.99	1.2
Shimmer
MVP madss	32	30	13	59%	103.6	71.4%	1.22	—
_Lx-	28	35	6	36%	74.6	54.8%	0.85	—
interlude	25	29	4	48%	63.8	54.8%	0.82	—
empathy RIFLER	22	37	9	50%	73.8	42.9%	0.62	3.6
bladee	19	33	3	53%	46.2	45.2%	0.52	—

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
vanessa	18	9	2	56%	103.1	88.9%	1.65	—
bibiahn	18	11	7	56%	100.4	83.3%	1.57	—
Kaoday	16	8	5	56%	93.1	88.9%	1.57	—
emy	18	7	2	33%	95.9	72.2%	1.56	1.2
GooseBreeder	11	12	7	36%	58.9	77.8%	1.03	—
Shimmer
madss	20	15	4	55%	128.3	77.8%	1.58	—
_Lx-	12	16	2	42%	61.2	50.0%	0.74	—
bladee	7	18	1	57%	36.9	33.3%	0.23	—
interlude	5	16	1	60%	26.9	33.3%	0.16	—
Ridge	3	17	2	67%	38.4	22.2%	0.00	3.6

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
FlyQuest RED WIN
Kaoday	29	16	11	38%	131.6	75.0%	1.77	—
GooseBreeder	22	14	6	50%	95.5	66.7%	1.36	—
vanessa	15	17	5	73%	81.0	70.8%	1.02	—
bibiahn	10	16	6	40%	53.4	54.2%	0.66	—
emy	10	20	6	30%	51.9	54.2%	0.56	1.2
Shimmer
interlude	20	13	3	45%	91.5	70.8%	1.32	—
Ridge	19	20	7	47%	100.4	58.3%	1.08	3.6
madss	12	15	9	67%	85.0	66.7%	0.96	—
_Lx-	16	19	4	31%	84.6	58.3%	0.93	—
bladee	12	15	2	50%	53.2	54.2%	0.74	—

Teams

Players in this match

Kaoday vanessa madss GooseBreeder bibiahn Emy _Lx- interlude empathy bladee