MIBR vs Sharks — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2369163

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-01-18 FINAL

MIBR

WINNER

2 : 1

SERIES COMPLETE

Sharks

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

dust2 34% MIBR

inferno 54% MIBR

anubis 47% MIBR

overpass 54% MIBR

vertigo 52% MIBR

mirage 48% MIBR

nuke 50% MIBR

ancient 50% MIBR

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 1

MIBR

SERIES WINNER

MIBR

SHARKS

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

dust2 34% MIBR

inferno 54% MIBR

anubis 47% MIBR

overpass 54% MIBR

vertigo 52% MIBR

mirage 48% MIBR

nuke 50% MIBR

ancient 50% MIBR

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

inferno 13 – 7 MIBR took the map.

ancient 13 – 8 MIBR took the map.

vertigo 10 – 13 Sharks took the map.

Side

MIBR WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP saffee AWP	65	36	9	26%	104.5	81.3%	1.58	9.1
exit`	43	34	22	51%	82.5	75.0%	1.21	—
insani RIFLER	45	40	18	56%	84.0	71.9%	1.16	9.2
drop;	37	38	14	46%	65.1	68.8%	0.98	—
brnz4n RIFLER	36	39	14	64%	73.6	64.1%	0.95	9.1

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP doc	48	51	8	56%	93.4	62.5%	1.05	—
togs	43	44	7	51%	71.3	64.1%	0.98	—
gafolo	36	38	8	28%	61.7	64.1%	0.91	—
drg	30	45	19	57%	59.8	62.5%	0.77	—
rdnzao	26	48	20	46%	62.3	64.1%	0.71	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
saffee	24	11	1	29%	118.8	80.0%	1.78	9.1
exit`	16	9	12	56%	103.7	95.0%	1.60	—
drop;	13	8	3	38%	62.4	75.0%	1.17	—
brnz4n169	10	10	7	70%	74.2	75.0%	1.05	9.1
insani	11	13	5	55%	67.6	60.0%	0.87	9.2

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
gafolo	13	14	3	38%	81.3	55.0%	0.93	—
togs	11	13	1	36%	49.1	70.0%	0.86	—
doc	12	15	2	50%	79.1	50.0%	0.81	—
rdnzao	8	16	7	63%	57.6	65.0%	0.68	—
drg	7	16	8	29%	51.8	50.0%	0.51	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
saffee	19	9	4	21%	97.9	90.5%	1.61	9.1
insani	19	13	7	63%	98.6	76.2%	1.42	9.2
drop;	14	11	8	57%	79.4	85.7%	1.28	—
brnz4n169	15	13	2	67%	83.8	66.7%	1.11	9.1
exit`	13	11	5	46%	70.1	66.7%	1.05	—

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
togs	15	15	4	60%	79.6	57.1%	0.99	—
rdnzao	14	18	4	43%	85.1	61.9%	0.92	—
gafolo	9	14	3	11%	43.8	52.4%	0.61	—
doc	9	17	3	78%	65.5	52.4%	0.61	—
drg	9	16	4	67%	54.1	52.4%	0.60	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
saffee	22	16	4	27%	98.0	73.9%	1.39	9.1
insani	15	14	6	47%	85.1	78.3%	1.17	9.2
exit`	14	14	5	50%	75.3	65.2%	1.00	—
brnz4n169	11	16	5	55%	63.7	52.2%	0.71	9.1
drop;	10	19	3	40%	54.3	47.8%	0.53	—

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
doc	27	19	3	52%	131.4	82.6%	1.67	—
gafolo	14	10	2	29%	61.1	82.6%	1.16	—
drg	14	13	7	64%	72.1	82.6%	1.15	—
togs	17	16	2	53%	83.1	65.2%	1.08	—
rdnzao	4	14	9	25%	45.4	65.2%	0.55	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = MIBR · Magenta = Sharks. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

saffee exit` insani doc togs drop; brnz4n gafolo drg rdnzao