MIBR vs Sharks — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2369158

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2024-01-17 FINAL

MIBR

WINNER

2 : 0

SERIES COMPLETE

Sharks

CHALLENGER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

dust2 34% MIBR

inferno 54% MIBR

anubis 47% MIBR

overpass 54% MIBR

vertigo 52% MIBR

mirage 48% MIBR

nuke 50% MIBR

ancient 50% MIBR

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

2 : 0

MIBR

SERIES WINNER

MIBR

SHARKS

—

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

dust2 34% MIBR

inferno 54% MIBR

anubis 47% MIBR

overpass 54% MIBR

vertigo 52% MIBR

mirage 48% MIBR

nuke 50% MIBR

ancient 50% MIBR

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

mirage 13 – 8 MIBR took the map.

nuke 13 – 4 MIBR took the map.

Side

MIBR WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP drop;	33	16	14	42%	115.4	82.4%	1.66	—
insani RIFLER	30	19	8	63%	102.7	76.5%	1.44	9.2
exit`	23	18	8	61%	77.5	76.5%	1.19	—
saffee AWP	21	15	5	33%	72.9	76.5%	1.17	9.1
brnz4n RIFLER	20	19	5	55%	60.1	67.7%	0.97	9.1

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP gafolo	24	22	5	25%	78.2	67.7%	1.09	—
drg	19	29	3	63%	70.0	52.9%	0.71	—
doc	15	26	6	47%	63.6	50.0%	0.62	—
togs	14	25	3	29%	58.0	50.0%	0.59	—
rdnzao	10	25	3	50%	42.6	35.3%	0.33	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
drop;	15	8	5	40%	106.7	82.4%	1.55	—
saffee	11	8	2	27%	76.5	76.5%	1.19	9.1
insani	14	12	3	64%	88.5	64.7%	1.17	9.2
brnz4n	11	11	2	73%	78.2	52.9%	0.92	9.1
exit`	6	10	3	67%	50.8	64.7%	0.71	—

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
gafolo	16	10	3	31%	98.3	82.4%	1.50	—
togs	8	11	3	38%	73.3	64.7%	0.85	—
doc	8	12	3	63%	72.1	58.8%	0.77	—
rdnzao	9	11	2	44%	61.1	52.9%	0.77	—
drg	8	13	2	50%	60.4	52.9%	0.65	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
drop;	18	8	9	44%	124.0	82.4%	1.78	—
insani	16	7	5	63%	117.0	88.2%	1.70	9.2
exit`	17	8	5	59%	104.1	88.2%	1.68	—
saffee	10	7	3	40%	69.2	76.5%	1.15	9.1
brnz4n	9	8	3	33%	42.0	82.4%	1.02	9.1

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
drg	11	16	1	73%	79.7	52.9%	0.77	—
gafolo	8	12	2	13%	58.2	52.9%	0.68	—
doc	7	14	3	29%	55.1	41.2%	0.47	—
togs	6	14	0	17%	42.8	35.3%	0.32	—
rdnzao	1	14	1	100%	24.0	17.7%	0.00	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = MIBR · Magenta = Sharks. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

drop; insani exit` saffee gafolo brnz4n drg doc togs rdnzao