RED Canids vs BESTIA — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2367619

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2023-10-24 FINAL

RED Canids

CHALLENGER

0 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

BESTIA

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

dust2 40% RED Canids

nuke 53% RED Canids

overpass 48% RED Canids

mirage 48% RED Canids

inferno 49% RED Canids

ancient 51% RED Canids

anubis 49% RED Canids

vertigo 56% WR (20/36)

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

0 : 2

BESTIA

SERIES WINNER

RED CANIDS

—

BESTIA

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

dust2 40% RED Canids

nuke 53% RED Canids

overpass 48% RED Canids

mirage 48% RED Canids

inferno 49% RED Canids

ancient 51% RED Canids

anubis 49% RED Canids

vertigo 56% WR (20/36)

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

mirage 9 – 13 BESTIA took the map.

ancient 6 – 13 BESTIA took the map.

Side

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP hardzao	30	24	9	50%	74.4	63.4%	1.11	—
venomzera RIFLER	27	33	10	67%	85.5	65.9%	0.98	9.0
DeStiNy	27	32	10	44%	79.6	56.1%	0.90	—
nython	24	31	13	25%	74.2	63.4%	0.90	—
b4rtiN	19	25	7	68%	60.0	58.5%	0.77	—
▸ Observers (1)
pino ★★★	— observer —

BESTIA WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP tomaszin	35	28	15	74%	102.4	70.7%	1.32	—
noktse	33	23	5	24%	90.4	65.9%	1.24	—
luchov RIFLER	28	25	10	64%	83.1	75.6%	1.17	9.7
deco RIFLER	28	27	14	71%	84.0	68.3%	1.10	4.8
meyern AWP	20	25	6	60%	58.7	68.3%	0.86	9.7

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
venomzera	18	18	3	67%	93.6	63.6%	1.11	9.0
hardzao	14	12	4	50%	61.5	59.1%	0.97	—
DeStiNy	12	16	3	67%	71.6	54.6%	0.79	—
b4rtiN	9	14	2	67%	51.1	50.0%	0.61	—
nython	7	18	10	14%	54.7	63.6%	0.59	—
▸ Observers (1)
pino ★★★	— observer —

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
noktse	21	10	3	19%	109.6	72.7%	1.54	—
luchov	16	11	4	69%	84.3	72.7%	1.24	9.7
tomaszin	14	14	8	79%	80.7	77.3%	1.13	—
deco	15	14	6	67%	82.6	68.2%	1.10	4.8
meyern	12	12	2	58%	64.3	68.2%	0.96	9.7

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
hardzao	16	12	5	50%	89.5	68.4%	1.27	—
nython	17	13	3	29%	96.8	63.2%	1.26	—
DeStiNy	15	16	7	27%	88.8	57.9%	1.04	—
b4rtiN	10	11	5	70%	70.3	68.4%	0.96	—
venomzera	9	15	7	67%	76.3	68.4%	0.83	9.0

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
tomaszin	21	14	7	71%	127.6	63.2%	1.53	—
deco	13	13	8	77%	85.6	68.4%	1.10	4.8
luchov	12	14	6	58%	81.6	79.0%	1.08	9.7
noktse	12	13	2	33%	68.3	57.9%	0.89	—
meyern	8	13	4	63%	52.2	68.4%	0.75	9.7

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Live win probability — mirage

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

⚡ SPECTER re-prices win probability after every kill, plant and save. Momentum swings visible per round.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows clearly.

⬡ Round-by-round reconstruction runs post-match from validated V4 demo data. Check back after parse.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

tomaszin noktse luchov hardzao deco venomzera DeStiNy nython meyern b4rtiN