BESTIA vs ODDIK — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2367616

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2023-10-23 FINAL

BESTIA

CHALLENGER

0 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

ODDIK

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

inferno 58% BESTIA

anubis 45% BESTIA

mirage 46% BESTIA

ancient 47% BESTIA

overpass 52% BESTIA

dust2 52% BESTIA

nuke 51% BESTIA

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

0 : 2

ODDIK

SERIES WINNER

BESTIA

—

ODDIK

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

inferno 58% BESTIA

anubis 45% BESTIA

mirage 46% BESTIA

ancient 47% BESTIA

overpass 52% BESTIA

dust2 52% BESTIA

nuke 51% BESTIA

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

nuke 13 – 16 ODDIK took the map.

inferno 3 – 13 ODDIK took the map.

Side

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP tomaszin	20	17	4	65%	92.2	65.2%	1.21	—
noktse	14	18	5	21%	63.4	60.9%	0.84	—
meyern AWP	13	16	3	77%	77.7	52.2%	0.82	9.7
deco RIFLER	12	20	8	50%	68.4	56.5%	0.72	4.8
luchov RIFLER	8	18	8	63%	59.0	56.5%	0.58	9.7
▸ Observers (1)
Rafa de Villa Dominico ★★★	— observer —

ODDIK WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP tuurtle	19	12	6	63%	102.4	69.6%	1.36	—
ponter RIFLER	18	14	6	33%	98.2	78.3%	1.33	7.1
naitte	19	17	7	63%	104.1	69.6%	1.25	—
woody	19	14	2	32%	83.0	69.6%	1.23	—
matios	14	12	7	57%	72.4	78.3%	1.14	—

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
tomaszin	17	10	4	59%	102.1	75.0%	1.55	—
meyern	12	11	3	75%	97.2	62.5%	1.13	9.7
noktse	12	12	5	17%	78.4	68.8%	1.09	—
deco	10	14	7	40%	82.3	68.8%	0.94	4.8
luchov	8	12	4	63%	72.4	62.5%	0.81	9.7
▸ Observers (1)
Rafa de Villa Dominico ★★★	— observer —

ODDIK WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
naitte	15	14	6	60%	119.1	68.8%	1.33	—
matios	11	10	5	55%	80.2	75.0%	1.16	—
ponter	12	13	4	17%	89.8	75.0%	1.14	7.1
woody	11	12	1	9%	69.5	62.5%	0.94	—
tuurtle	10	12	3	60%	81.8	56.3%	0.89	—

BESTIA

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
tomaszin	3	7	0	100%	69.6	42.9%	0.43	—
noktse	2	6	0	50%	29.1	42.9%	0.26	—
deco	2	6	1	100%	36.6	28.6%	0.19	4.8
meyern	1	5	0	100%	33.1	28.6%	0.12	9.7
luchov	0	6	4	—	28.6	42.9%	0.07	9.7

ODDIK WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
tuurtle	9	0	3	67%	149.6	100.0%	2.42	—
woody	8	2	1	63%	113.9	85.7%	1.90	—
ponter	6	1	2	67%	117.6	85.7%	1.76	7.1
matios	3	2	2	67%	54.6	85.7%	1.11	—
naitte	4	3	1	75%	70.0	71.4%	1.09	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Live win probability — nuke

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

⚡ SPECTER re-prices win probability after every kill, plant and save. Momentum swings visible per round.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows clearly.

⬡ Round-by-round reconstruction runs post-match from validated V4 demo data. Check back after parse.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

tuurtle ponter naitte woody tomaszin matios noktse meyern deco luchov