RED Canids vs MIBR — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2367426

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2023-10-20 FINAL

RED Canids

CHALLENGER

1 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

MIBR

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

ancient 46% RED Canids

overpass 55% RED Canids

mirage 54% RED Canids

inferno 46% RED Canids

anubis 46% RED Canids

nuke 52% RED Canids

vertigo 48% RED Canids

dust2 52% RED Canids

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

1 : 2

MIBR

SERIES WINNER

RED CANIDS

MIBR

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

ancient 46% RED Canids

overpass 55% RED Canids

mirage 54% RED Canids

inferno 46% RED Canids

anubis 46% RED Canids

nuke 52% RED Canids

vertigo 48% RED Canids

dust2 52% RED Canids

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

mirage 8 – 13 MIBR took the map.

anubis 13 – 2 RED Canids took the map.

vertigo 4 – 13 MIBR took the map.

Side

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP DeStiNy	41	36	5	54%	91.4	62.3%	1.13	—
b4rtiN	37	36	9	35%	79.2	64.2%	1.04	—
nython	35	39	6	54%	77.2	58.5%	0.93	—
hardzao	29	39	13	59%	72.9	64.2%	0.87	—
venomzera RIFLER	30	44	12	73%	70.4	56.6%	0.77	9.1

MIBR WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP insani RIFLER	45	32	11	60%	98.4	75.5%	1.36	9.2
brnz4n RIFLER	50	39	14	62%	107.9	62.3%	1.31	9.1
drop	37	34	15	68%	82.8	71.7%	1.14	—
exit`	34	33	12	62%	70.0	69.8%	1.04	—
saffee AWP	26	36	8	27%	62.2	60.4%	0.78	9.1

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
DeStiNy	20	16	2	50%	111.1	66.7%	1.33	—
b4rtiN	17	16	1	24%	82.3	57.1%	1.04	—
venomzera	9	19	3	78%	52.7	52.4%	0.52	9.1
nython	8	17	3	63%	45.5	52.4%	0.50	—
hardzao	7	17	4	71%	47.6	52.4%	0.47	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
insani	22	11	3	50%	110.5	76.2%	1.61	9.2
saffee	18	13	2	28%	100.9	81.0%	1.40	9.1
exit`	15	11	7	87%	81.6	76.2%	1.25	—
brnz4n	16	15	8	56%	89.3	57.1%	1.08	9.1
drop	13	12	7	77%	71.5	71.4%	1.08	—

RED Canids WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
nython	17	7	1	47%	126.9	80.0%	1.79	—
DeStiNy	14	6	3	57%	105.4	86.7%	1.65	—
hardzao	14	10	4	50%	107.5	80.0%	1.47	—
b4rtiN	12	6	4	33%	93.9	80.0%	1.45	—
venomzera	10	11	6	50%	80.0	73.3%	1.08	9.1

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
insani	10	12	4	60%	85.5	66.7%	1.00	9.2
brnz4n	10	14	2	60%	74.9	46.7%	0.73	9.1
drop	8	13	2	88%	68.5	46.7%	0.63	—
exit`	8	14	2	50%	59.3	53.3%	0.62	—
saffee	3	15	2	0%	35.8	33.3%	0.07	9.1

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
hardzao	8	12	5	63%	73.8	64.7%	0.83	—
venomzera	11	14	3	91%	83.9	47.1%	0.81	9.1
nython	10	15	2	60%	72.5	47.1%	0.69	—
b4rtiN	8	14	4	63%	62.2	58.8%	0.68	—
DeStiNy	7	14	0	57%	54.8	35.3%	0.41	—

MIBR

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
brnz4n	24	10	4	67%	160.1	82.4%	2.11	9.1
drop	16	9	6	50%	109.5	94.1%	1.67	—
insani	13	9	4	77%	94.8	82.4%	1.37	9.2
exit`	11	8	3	36%	65.1	76.5%	1.15	—
saffee	5	8	4	40%	37.6	58.8%	0.64	9.1

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = RED Canids · Magenta = MIBR. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

insani brnz4n drop DeStiNy b4rtiN exit` nython hardzao saffee venomzera