RED Canids vs Sharks — CounterQuant

MATCHES / #2367424

HLTV

T2 · BO3 CS2 · 2023-10-20 FINAL

RED Canids

CHALLENGER

1 : 2

SERIES COMPLETE

Sharks

WINNER

/// MIRAGE v6 · MAP POOL EDGE

Map pool strength

HISTORICAL MATCH

dust2 35% RED Canids

overpass 59% RED Canids

anubis 44% RED Canids

ancient 46% RED Canids

nuke 53% RED Canids

mirage 53% RED Canids

inferno 50% RED Canids

vertigo 50% RED Canids

CQ-GESUS SUITE Models run for upcoming matches only. View prediction ledger →

SERIES RESULT

1 : 2

Sharks

SERIES WINNER

RED CANIDS

SHARKS

/// MIRAGE v6 PER-MAP ENGINE

Veto simulation & map probabilities

BO3 BAN/PICK SIM

dust2 35% RED Canids

overpass 59% RED Canids

anubis 44% RED Canids

ancient 46% RED Canids

nuke 53% RED Canids

mirage 53% RED Canids

inferno 50% RED Canids

vertigo 50% RED Canids

Each side bans its worst maps, picks its best — simulated 10,000×.

PLAYED SERIES — MAP RESULTS

mirage 13 – 10 RED Canids took the map.

nuke 7 – 13 Sharks took the map.

anubis 12 – 16 Sharks took the map.

Side

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP b4rtiN	61	38	12	62%	106.3	80.0%	1.50	—
DeStiNy	50	43	15	52%	89.9	64.6%	1.16	—
venomzera RIFLER	45	46	21	69%	90.6	67.7%	1.10	9.1
hardzao	39	41	14	64%	73.2	75.4%	1.05	—
nython	24	40	10	33%	44.8	63.1%	0.67	—

Sharks WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
MVP togs	52	49	6	37%	93.1	63.1%	1.12	—
doc	42	48	18	55%	79.1	67.7%	1.00	—
drg	44	48	12	50%	77.8	55.4%	0.93	—
rdnzao	33	35	6	48%	60.4	67.7%	0.91	—
gafolo	35	40	6	34%	63.3	64.6%	0.88	—

RED Canids WIN

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
b4rtiN	23	14	4	61%	114.1	82.6%	1.59	—
hardzao	18	13	2	61%	84.0	73.9%	1.25	—
DeStiNy	17	14	4	53%	83.7	60.9%	1.11	—
venomzera	13	16	8	62%	76.7	65.2%	0.94	9.1
nython	8	15	2	25%	38.7	47.8%	0.50	—

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
togs	22	17	4	27%	116.6	69.6%	1.39	—
drg	15	17	5	27%	76.3	60.9%	0.94	—
gafolo	12	14	2	50%	59.4	69.6%	0.89	—
doc	12	17	7	33%	68.1	60.9%	0.81	—
rdnzao	10	13	2	50%	53.9	60.9%	0.76	—

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
DeStiNy	16	10	4	38%	125.6	78.6%	1.67	—
b4rtiN	13	7	4	54%	109.3	85.7%	1.60	—
hardzao	8	9	3	63%	69.6	71.4%	0.98	—
venomzera	9	11	2	89%	74.1	64.3%	0.92	9.1
nython	4	9	6	75%	57.6	71.4%	0.71	—

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
drg	15	9	0	60%	106.6	64.3%	1.46	—
togs	11	11	0	64%	82.5	57.1%	1.00	—
rdnzao	6	9	2	50%	63.7	64.3%	0.78	—
doc	7	12	4	57%	66.7	64.3%	0.75	—
gafolo	6	10	2	67%	62.9	57.1%	0.68	—

RED Canids

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
b4rtiN	25	17	4	68%	98.4	75.0%	1.39	—
venomzera	23	19	11	65%	110.3	71.4%	1.32	9.1
DeStiNy	17	19	7	65%	77.1	60.7%	0.94	—
hardzao	13	19	9	69%	66.1	78.6%	0.92	—
nython	12	16	2	25%	43.5	71.4%	0.80	—

Sharks

Player	K	D	A	HS%	ADR	KAST	Rating	CQR
doc	23	19	7	65%	94.3	75.0%	1.28	—
rdnzao	17	13	2	47%	64.0	75.0%	1.10	—
gafolo	17	16	2	12%	66.8	64.3%	0.97	—
togs	19	21	2	32%	79.2	60.7%	0.95	—
drg	14	22	7	64%	64.7	46.4%	0.65	—

/// SPECTER v1 · AUC 0.9035

Win probability by round —

RECONSTRUCTED POST-MATCH

Cyan = RED Canids · Magenta = Sharks. Each point = that team's win % after the round ended. Hover for round score.

◈ Economy discipline is the single strongest in-game predictor — full-buy vs eco collapse shows as steep drops.

⬡ Reconstructed post-match from validated V4 demo data. Probability resets at 50–50 at the start of each half.

TEAMS

PLAYERS IN THIS MATCH

b4rtiN DeStiNy togs venomzera hardzao doc drg rdnzao gafolo nython